College Football Chaos
Well, we finally got to Championship week and what a weekend it’ll be! The CFP final four seems set, on the surface. Say Clemson and Alabama win on Saturday, along with Oklahoma, those three are in. Throw in the winner of the Iowa-Michigan State B1G Championship game and the CFP final four are set, in no certain order.
Iowa/Michigan State winner.
Buuuuuut, what happens if either Clemson or Alabama lose? The better question is what happens if BOTH lose to North Carolina or Florida, respectively?
Does Clemson have a good enough resume to withstand a loss and stay in the final four? Perhaps. It has wins over Notre Dame and Florida State on its ledger, so could the Tigers fall to four and stay in the playoff hunt? I’d say recency “bias” may hurt them and they’d move to five at best. But, there’s an argument to be made for scheduling/beating Notre Dame out of conference.
If Clemson or Alabama loses and falls out of the final four, which team takes its place? Ohio State is sixth and Stanford is seventh, but the Buckeyes didn’t even win their division in the B1G and Stanford has two losses but a shot to impress in the Pac-12 championship game v. USC in Santa Clara.
Now, what if Clemson and Alabama both lose? Let’s make this even more chaotic. What if those teams both lose and USC upsets Stanford? So…
Clemson would be 12-1, no conference championship Alabama would be 11-2, no conference championship Oklahoma’s season is over at 11-1 and a sure lock for the playoff.
Iowa/Michigan State winner is in.
Loser is no worse than 11-2, no conference championship Ohio State would be 11-1, didn’t even play for a conference championship Stanford would be 10-3, no conference championship Florida State would be 10-2, didn’t even play for a conference championship Florida would be 10-2, won the SEC North Carolina would be 12-1, won 12 in a row and won the ACC.
Notre Dame would be 10-2, lost to Stanford and Clemson.
TCU would be 10-2, runner-up in Big 12.
So, go ahead and pick four teams from that mish mash of teams. I wouldn’t know what to think, other than Oklahoma and the Iowa/Michigan State winner would be in the final four.
Now, this conversation can all be moot with wins by Clemson and Alabama, but after the season we’ve had in college football, can we be absolutely sure that’s going to be the case?
Exactly. Enjoy this weekend, college football fan.